Peniche vs GRAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+107%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 5
PEN
30%
23%
47%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 0
PAT
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GDA
4 - 1
PEN
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PEN
3 - 0
ALQ
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PEL
1 - 2
PEN
15%
20%
65%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
GRAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 0
CCA
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ADP
1 - 3
GRA
18%
21%
61%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GRA
3 - 3
MDB
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CUL
0 - 4
GRA
15%
19%
66%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
GRA
6 - 0
VIE
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |