Peniche vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
65.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
CAL
14%
21%
65%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 1
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
CRA
63%
21%
17%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 3
PEN
25%
23%
52%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
GRA
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
CAL
14%
21%
65%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CAL
3 - 0
ALC
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
SER
1 - 2
CAL
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
1DE
48%
28%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ADN
0 - 1
CAL
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |