Peñarroya Pueblonuevo vs Nervión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
68.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarroya Pueblonuevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
ANT
9%
19%
72%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 0
PEN
84%
12%
4%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
PIL
34%
24%
42%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CDP
3 - 1
PEN
76%
15%
9%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 4
POZ
18%
24%
58%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ADS
2 - 3
NER
53%
21%
26%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
NER
1 - 1
ROC
38%
25%
37%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
EST
4 - 1
NER
50%
22%
29%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
NER
1 - 2
MAI
48%
24%
28%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CDA
2 - 3
NER
56%
21%
23%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |