Peñarol vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
LFC
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
JUV
78%
16%
7%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MWA
1 - 2
PEÑ
23%
24%
53%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 3
PEÑ
17%
21%
62%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
NAC
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SPC
3 - 3
CIE
68%
19%
12%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 3
SPC
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GAL
3 - 1
SPC
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
CIE
1 - 2
SPC
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SPC
4 - 0
AYA
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |