Peñarol vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
FEN
1 - 0
PEÑ
25%
26%
49%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 1
PEÑ
27%
26%
46%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
NAC
56%
24%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
SWA
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 0
PEÑ
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 3
LFC
33%
27%
41%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 4
EST
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 2
UNI
46%
24%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 2
DAN
53%
24%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
RAC
0 - 0
DEF
40%
25%
36%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |