Peñaraval vs UD La Coca Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
34.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñaraval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
PRV
0 - 1
RAC
44%
22%
34%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SPD
2 - 3
PRV
70%
17%
14%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PRV
2 - 3
ELD
17%
18%
65%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
RAF
4 - 1
PRV
53%
21%
26%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PRV
1 - 5
MON
12%
16%
72%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
UD La Coca Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MON
6 - 0
UDL
78%
14%
9%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UDL
0 - 3
SPD
52%
21%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ELD
2 - 1
UDL
70%
16%
15%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
UDL
2 - 0
RAF
24%
21%
55%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +3 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
UDL
85%
10%
5%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |