Penapolense vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
6.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
PEN
17%
22%
61%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 0
VOC
58%
24%
18%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
TAN
0 - 1
PEN
11%
15%
74%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
PEN
4 - 0
TUP
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
PEN
12%
19%
70%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
TAN
4 - 0
SAN
38%
23%
39%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
FER
29%
25%
46%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
VOC
3 - 0
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
PEN
12%
19%
70%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TUP
3 - 0
SAN
61%
21%
18%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |