Penapolense vs Audax São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
50.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
COR
5 - 3
PEN
77%
17%
6%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
RIO
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 0
PEN
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
3 - 1
LIN
43%
26%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
PEN
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
AUD
3 - 0
CAP
61%
21%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
AUD
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ITU
1 - 2
AUD
32%
27%
42%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
AUD
2 - 0
MOG
52%
24%
25%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
RBB
1 - 6
AUD
34%
27%
40%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |