Penapolense vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
SAO
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 2
PEN
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
PAU
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 0
PEN
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 0
PEN
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 3
VOT
52%
23%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 3
BAR
66%
20%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 1
ATL
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 2
MIR
27%
25%
49%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 1
MAT
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |