Penalva Castelo vs Valecambrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
6.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
BUS
3 - 3
PEN
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
AVA
4 - 0
PEN
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 1
ACV
15%
24%
61%
|
30 | 63 | 33 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 1
SAN
15%
22%
63%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 1
PEN
58%
22%
21%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Valecambrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 3
AVA
16%
21%
64%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 3
SAN
12%
20%
68%
|
15 | 57 | 42 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
4 - 2
VAL
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
ADN
11%
18%
71%
|
13 | 39 | 26 | +3 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAN
2 - 3
VAL
41%
24%
35%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |