Penalva Castelo vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
76.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.2%
0-2
16%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
GON
4 - 0
PEN
77%
16%
7%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ANA
3 - 1
PEN
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 3
GAF
29%
24%
48%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
LUS
1 - 2
PEN
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
PEN
3 - 1
PED
15%
19%
66%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +4 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
UNM
1 - 0
PAR
89%
9%
2%
|
57 | 25 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
UNM
3 - 1
LUS
76%
15%
9%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
CIN
0 - 1
UNM
11%
19%
70%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
UNM
0 - 2
ESP
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
AMA
0 - 0
UNM
19%
24%
57%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |