Penalva Castelo vs Avanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ACV
3 - 0
PEN
79%
15%
6%
|
32 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
PEN
77%
16%
8%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
4 - 0
ALB
36%
25%
39%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SAM
3 - 1
PEN
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 3
OLI
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Avanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AVA
0 - 0
SAN
16%
21%
63%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 0
AVA
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -3 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
AVA
2 - 1
ADN
30%
24%
46%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CAN
0 - 5
AVA
13%
19%
68%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AVA
1 - 1
BUS
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |