Penalva Castelo vs Alba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SAM
3 - 1
PEN
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 3
OLI
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ADN
0 - 0
PEN
65%
20%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 0
OLI
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 2
PEN
13%
20%
67%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Alba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 0
OLI
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 1
ALB
43%
24%
32%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ALB
5 - 0
VAL
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
AVA
0 - 0
ALB
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ALB
5 - 1
SAN
16%
22%
63%
|
32 | 57 | 25 | +3 |