Peñalba vs Albelda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
26.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñalba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
BIN
1 - 0
PEN
71%
16%
13%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
EST
5 - 1
PEN
79%
12%
8%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 0
ESP
18%
20%
63%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ISA
1 - 1
PEN
65%
17%
18%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 0
ONT
13%
17%
70%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Albelda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SES
2 - 1
ALB
46%
22%
32%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ALB
1 - 1
ESP
24%
21%
55%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ISA
4 - 0
ALB
49%
21%
30%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ALB
1 - 2
ONT
30%
21%
49%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ABI
4 - 1
ALB
82%
11%
6%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |