CD Peñaflor vs Navas de la Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
11%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CON
1 - 2
PEÑ
51%
21%
28%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
PEÑ
8 - 1
TOR
76%
15%
9%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CAN
2 - 1
PEÑ
16%
19%
65%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
ALC
70%
16%
14%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
SAL
3 - 2
PEÑ
15%
18%
67%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Navas de la Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
NAV
2 - 0
GUA
25%
20%
55%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
BRE
3 - 0
NAV
57%
20%
23%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
NAV
1 - 3
AZN
19%
19%
62%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
LIC
4 - 3
NAV
57%
20%
24%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
NAV
0 - 2
ALM
41%
21%
38%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |