CD Peñaflor vs Navas de la Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MIN
0 - 2
PEÑ
23%
22%
56%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
PEÑ
6 - 0
LIC
51%
21%
28%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
4 - 2
PEÑ
32%
22%
47%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
PEÑ
5 - 2
CAS
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CON
0 - 2
PEÑ
28%
22%
51%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Navas de la Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
7 - 1
NAV
48%
21%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
NAV
1 - 2
MIN
42%
21%
36%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
LIC
3 - 2
NAV
56%
20%
24%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
NAV
2 - 1
GUA
24%
19%
56%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 0
NAV
46%
20%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |