Penafiel vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ACA
3 - 2
PEN
51%
27%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 2
POR
26%
28%
46%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
SPC
2 - 3
PEN
48%
28%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
PEN
4 - 0
OLH
55%
26%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
LEX
2 - 1
PEN
40%
29%
32%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
UNM
3 - 1
POR
24%
28%
49%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
BRA
3 - 1
UNM
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
UNM
2 - 1
SCF
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
UNM
2 - 0
LEX
54%
27%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
GFC
2 - 1
UNM
37%
29%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |