Penafiel vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
42.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
RIO
1 - 0
PEN
67%
21%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
PEN
0 - 1
MAR
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
EST
1 - 0
PEN
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
VST
4 - 0
PEN
64%
21%
14%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
GFC
0 - 1
PEN
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
UDL
1 - 0
BEL
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
EST
1 - 1
UDL
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
UDL
0 - 1
FCP
23%
27%
50%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
RIO
2 - 0
UDL
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
UDL
1 - 2
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |