Penafiel vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
POR
0 - 0
PEN
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1981 |
PEN
0 - 3
SLB
19%
23%
57%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
PEN
2 - 0
ESP
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
PEN
0 - 0
FCP
23%
26%
51%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
VST
0 - 1
PEN
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1982 |
UDL
0 - 0
VST
46%
28%
27%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1981 |
SPB
3 - 1
UDL
68%
20%
13%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
UDL
1 - 1
ACV
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
BEL
1 - 0
UDL
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
UDL
0 - 2
SCP
13%
20%
67%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |