Penafiel vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 0
ACA
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
UNM
0 - 0
PEN
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 0
PEN
10%
16%
74%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
REA
3 - 1
PEN
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 0
COV
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SCP
4 - 3
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
ARO
2 - 0
SCP
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
ACA
4 - 2
SCP
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SCP
0 - 1
GFC
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
UNM
2 - 2
SCP
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |