Penafiel vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
AVE
0 - 1
PEN
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 0
BRA
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SPC
2 - 2
PEN
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 0
GFC
32%
27%
40%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ACV
0 - 2
PEN
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SCP
5 - 0
OLI
71%
17%
11%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 1
SCP
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SCP
2 - 1
SAN
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 3
SCP
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SCP
0 - 0
FAM
44%
27%
30%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |