Penafiel vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
PEN
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
TRO
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 0
PEN
54%
24%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 0
PEN
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 3
VIL
49%
27%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 2
BEN
17%
23%
60%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2022 |
POR
3 - 1
SPC
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
RIO
3 - 1
SPC
73%
18%
8%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 1
VIL
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
ACV
1 - 1
SPC
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |