Penafiel vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
28.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
AVE
3 - 2
PEN
45%
28%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAR
71%
20%
10%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 2
SAN
36%
28%
37%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
GFC
3 - 1
PEN
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
TRO
2 - 0
PEN
47%
26%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 0
SPC
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SPC
3 - 1
EST
50%
25%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
GFC
3 - 0
SPC
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
SPC
2 - 3
SCF
54%
23%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2009 |
BMA
0 - 1
SPC
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +3 |