Penafiel vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
SCF
1 - 0
PEN
36%
26%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
PEN
2 - 1
NAV
65%
21%
15%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
MAI
3 - 2
PEN
46%
24%
30%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
PEN
2 - 0
UNI
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
CHA
2 - 2
PEN
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
SPC
0 - 2
RIO
30%
26%
43%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
SPC
1 - 1
BMA
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
MOR
1 - 0
SPC
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
SPC
2 - 3
ESP
40%
27%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
AVE
3 - 0
SPC
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |