Penafiel vs Sporting Braga analysis

Penafiel Sporting Braga
63 ELO 86
-2.4% Tilt 9.2%
1691º General ELO ranking 110º
32º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
16.8%
Penafiel
23.1%
Draw
60.1%
Sporting Braga

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
Penafiel
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
60.1%
Win probability
Sporting Braga
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Penafiel
-21%
+3%
Sporting Braga

ELO progression

Penafiel
Sporting Braga
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Penafiel
Penafiel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2019
MOR
Mortágua
2 - 3
Penafiel
PEN
7%
14%
79%
64 39 25 0
21 Sep. 2019
NAC
Nacional
2 - 1
Penafiel
PEN
54%
24%
22%
64 70 6 0
15 Sep. 2019
PEN
Penafiel
2 - 1
Mafra
MAF
52%
26%
23%
64 61 3 0
01 Sep. 2019
CHA
Chaves
2 - 1
Penafiel
PEN
53%
25%
22%
64 72 8 0
24 Aug. 2019
PEN
Penafiel
3 - 0
Cova Piedade
COV
52%
26%
22%
63 60 3 +1

Matches

Sporting Braga
Sporting Braga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 2019
SPB
Sporting Braga
2 - 2
Slovan Bratislava
SBR
42%
24%
35%
86 86 0 0
29 Sep. 2019
POR
Portimonense
0 - 1
Sporting Braga
SPB
16%
23%
61%
86 70 16 0
23 Sep. 2019
SPB
Sporting Braga
2 - 2
Marítimo
MAR
80%
14%
6%
86 71 15 0
19 Sep. 2019
WOL
Wolves
0 - 1
Sporting Braga
SPB
40%
26%
34%
86 84 2 0
13 Sep. 2019
VST
Vitória Setúbal
1 - 0
Sporting Braga
SPB
12%
22%
66%
86 71 15 0