Penafiel vs Olhanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 0
BEN
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LEX
1 - 0
PEN
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
FAM
1 - 1
PEN
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
SCF
40%
29%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
PEN
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Olhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
OLH
0 - 0
DYN
10%
19%
71%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
OLH
0 - 1
FAM
43%
29%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 3
OLH
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
OLH
36%
28%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
OLH
0 - 2
LEX
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |