Penafiel vs Olhanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
26.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
GON
2 - 1
PEN
52%
26%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
PEN
0 - 2
VIT
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
RIO
1 - 0
PEN
63%
23%
15%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
PEN
0 - 3
TRO
51%
25%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
NAC
0 - 0
PEN
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Olhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
OLH
1 - 1
VAR
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
VIZ
1 - 0
OLH
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
POR
1 - 0
OLH
38%
29%
33%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
OLH
0 - 0
GON
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
OLH
1 - 0
VIT
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |