Penafiel vs Portimonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
44.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
LEX
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
FAR
2 - 2
PEN
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
RIO
18%
25%
57%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 2
PEN
9%
18%
73%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CHA
3 - 1
PEN
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
POR
2 - 0
BEL
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
SPB
3 - 0
POR
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
POR
0 - 2
EST
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
OLI
3 - 3
POR
20%
23%
57%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SLB
0 - 1
POR
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |