Penafiel vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
35.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
EST
1 - 0
PEN
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
VST
4 - 0
PEN
64%
21%
14%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
GFC
0 - 1
PEN
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
PEN
3 - 2
MAI
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
PEN
0 - 1
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
ACA
1 - 2
MAR
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 0
BEL
52%
25%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 1
EST
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
FIA
0 - 0
MAR
8%
19%
73%
|
75 | 16 | 59 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
UDL
0 - 0
MAR
57%
25%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |