Penafiel vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
56.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
VIT
3 - 1
PEN
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
PEN
0 - 0
BOA
25%
29%
46%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
PEN
1 - 1
UDL
30%
28%
43%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
SCP
2 - 0
PEN
77%
17%
7%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
PEN
1 - 1
GFC
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
FCP
1 - 0
UDL
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
SCP
0 - 1
FCP
42%
27%
31%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
FCP
3 - 0
GFC
71%
20%
10%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
ACA
0 - 1
FCP
18%
26%
56%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
FCP
1 - 1
SCP
48%
26%
26%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |