Penafiel vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
23.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 1
PEN
39%
29%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
OLH
48%
27%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 0
BEN
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LEX
1 - 0
PEN
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
FAM
1 - 1
PEN
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
OLH
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 1
ATL
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
LEX
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2016 |
SCF
0 - 0
ATL
60%
24%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ORI
2 - 1
ATL
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |