Penafiel U19 vs Vila Real U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
15%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
FEI
0 - 1
PEN
29%
22%
49%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 1
PAD
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 3
LUS
38%
22%
40%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
PEN
78%
13%
9%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
GON
0 - 0
PEN
55%
20%
25%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Real U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 4
LUS
20%
19%
61%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
PAÇ
5 - 1
VIL
83%
11%
7%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 2
GON
23%
20%
57%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LEX
1 - 2
VIL
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
BOA
2 - 1
VIL
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |