Penafiel U19 vs União Nogueirense U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
55.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-85%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
9º
6º
28
4º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LEX
0 - 0
PEN
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 2
LUS
20%
20%
60%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 2
PEN
75%
15%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 1
PEN
49%
22%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 2
PAD
36%
22%
42%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
União Nogueirense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
NOG
2 - 0
PAD
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 1
NOG
21%
20%
60%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
NOG
1 - 0
FEI
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LAM
2 - 2
NOG
9%
14%
77%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
NOG
4 - 1
SOU
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |