Penafiel U19 vs Feirense U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
47.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
9º
6º
41
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
LAM
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NOG
1 - 0
PEN
67%
18%
16%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 2
LEX
25%
21%
55%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LUS
3 - 1
PEN
70%
16%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 3
VAL
26%
21%
54%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Feirense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PAD
0 - 1
FEI
44%
22%
34%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FEI
3 - 0
ESP
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 2
FEI
35%
23%
43%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LAM
1 - 5
FEI
13%
17%
70%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FEI
2 - 1
NOG
25%
21%
53%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |