Penafiel U15 vs Varzim U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
15.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
1º
4º
4º
1
4º
4º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
17 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 15 |
2º
|
79% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 7 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
1 | 1 |
5º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
FAM
19%
19%
62%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 1
PEN
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 1
PAÇ
16%
18%
66%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VRZ
0 - 1
PEN
39%
23%
38%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 0
PEN
29%
21%
49%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
VRZ
84%
11%
5%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VRZ
0 - 2
FAM
9%
15%
76%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RIO
3 - 0
VRZ
80%
12%
8%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VRZ
0 - 1
PEN
39%
23%
38%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VRZ
1 - 3
GFC
25%
21%
54%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |