Penafiel U15 vs SC Salgueiros U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
14.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
7º
8º
7º
28
5º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
15 | 15 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FEI
0 - 0
PEN
60%
20%
21%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 2
PAÇ
45%
22%
34%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TBR
1 - 1
PEN
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SC Salgueiros U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 3
BOA
12%
17%
71%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FEI
1 - 0
SAL
72%
16%
13%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 8
POR
5%
13%
82%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 1
ADB
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
FEI
0 - 1
SAL
67%
17%
16%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |