Penafiel U15 vs Porto U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.1%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
82.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
13.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
18%
0-4
8.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
11%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
7º
8º
7º
52
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
15 | 15 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AVC
0 - 3
PEN
28%
22%
51%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 0
VBF
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 1
SAL
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FEI
0 - 0
PEN
60%
20%
21%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 2
PAÇ
45%
22%
34%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Porto U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
POR
3 - 0
FEI
90%
8%
3%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
POR
4 - 1
PAÇ
92%
7%
2%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
POR
6 - 0
TBR
87%
10%
4%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ESP
2 - 4
POR
4%
11%
84%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
POR
1 - 0
BOA
86%
10%
4%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |