Penafiel U15 vs Espinho U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
7º
8º
7º
13
4º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
15 | 15 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BOA
3 - 0
PEN
82%
11%
6%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 8
POR
5%
13%
82%
|
23 | 51 | 28 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AVC
0 - 3
PEN
28%
22%
51%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 0
VBF
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 1
SAL
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Espinho U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ESP
1 - 2
FEI
15%
17%
68%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
ESP
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ESP
1 - 2
TBR
12%
17%
71%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAL
5 - 3
ESP
59%
20%
21%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BOA
3 - 0
ESP
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |