La Peña vs Corellano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
60.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CAB
3 - 1
LAP
64%
20%
16%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LAP
0 - 0
INJ
37%
26%
38%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
RIB
1 - 1
LAP
69%
18%
13%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
LAP
3 - 3
AZK
14%
20%
67%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BUÑ
3 - 1
LAP
72%
17%
12%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CDC
2 - 1
ZAR
56%
23%
22%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ACD
1 - 3
CDC
15%
20%
64%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CDC
2 - 1
CAV
51%
24%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
COR
0 - 1
CDC
36%
25%
39%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CDC
1 - 1
CDC
66%
20%
14%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |