La Peña vs Corellano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
48.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
IDO
4 - 1
LAP
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
LAP
2 - 0
FAL
46%
25%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
MEN
4 - 1
LAP
51%
24%
25%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
LAP
0 - 1
AZK
22%
23%
55%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
BUÑ
3 - 2
LAP
43%
23%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
RIV
1 - 0
CDC
15%
21%
64%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
CDC
1 - 2
IDO
51%
24%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CDC
4 - 3
INJ
59%
22%
19%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
FAL
2 - 1
CDC
22%
23%
55%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
CDC
0 - 1
ERR
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |