La Peña vs Corellano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
SES
1 - 0
LAP
43%
25%
33%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
LAP
4 - 1
ZAR
20%
23%
57%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +4 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
RIB
0 - 1
LAP
79%
14%
7%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
ARE
2 - 1
LAP
67%
19%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
LAP
2 - 2
AZK
13%
20%
67%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
CDC
2 - 1
ARE
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
AZK
0 - 1
CDC
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +3 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
CDC
2 - 1
INJ
62%
21%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ERR
1 - 3
CDC
33%
25%
42%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
CDC
0 - 1
FAL
78%
15%
8%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |