Peña Sport vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
MUR
0 - 4
PEÑ
17%
25%
59%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
LAG
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
CHA
0 - 0
PEÑ
18%
25%
57%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
ATL
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
SJU
1 - 0
PEÑ
12%
23%
65%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
UDM
1 - 0
TUD
50%
27%
23%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
UDM
1 - 1
ALU
44%
27%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
BUR
1 - 0
UDM
36%
28%
36%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
UDM
2 - 0
AOI
56%
25%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
VAL
2 - 0
UDM
70%
19%
12%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |