Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Peña Sport vs SD Logroñés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
SDL
4 - 0
PEÑ
51%
23%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
CHA
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 3
PEÑ
12%
20%
68%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
SJU
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
LOU
2 - 3
PEÑ
11%
19%
70%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
SD Logroñés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
SDL
4 - 0
PEÑ
51%
23%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SDL
2 - 5
HAR
65%
19%
15%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
PRA
0 - 3
SDL
7%
17%
76%
|
48 | 16 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
SDL
2 - 2
NAX
76%
16%
9%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
VIA
2 - 1
SDL
8%
17%
75%
|
49 | 17 | 32 | -1 |