Peña Sport vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
39.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
ALI
4 - 0
PEÑ
64%
21%
16%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
OSA
48%
27%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
GRA
0 - 0
PEÑ
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
ALC
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
HUE
0 - 2
PEÑ
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
OSA
1 - 1
HER
27%
30%
43%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
HER
1 - 3
ALC
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
LEV
3 - 0
HER
30%
29%
41%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
HER
2 - 1
NOV
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
FIG
1 - 3
HER
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |