Peña Sport vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
51.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
MIR
12%
19%
69%
|
36 | 66 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
ARE
1 - 0
PEÑ
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
RUN
17%
25%
59%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
NAX
32%
23%
45%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
NAX
1 - 1
PEÑ
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
GER
1 - 3
RAC
15%
26%
59%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SPB
1 - 0
GER
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
UDL
5 - 1
GER
57%
24%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
GER
2 - 0
ARE
31%
28%
42%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SES
2 - 1
GER
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |