Pena Roja vs Mazaleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
29.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pena Roja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
PUE
7 - 0
PRO
53%
21%
26%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
PRO
0 - 5
ACF
6%
12%
82%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 0
PRO
74%
15%
11%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
PRO
0 - 1
CAL
12%
17%
71%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 1
PRO
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Mazaleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MAZ
1 - 3
CAL
10%
16%
74%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
MAZ
61%
19%
20%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MAZ
0 - 2
VAL
13%
17%
70%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MAE
7 - 1
MAZ
88%
8%
4%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
MAZ
0 - 2
CHI
8%
15%
77%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |