Pena Roja vs Mazaleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pena Roja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 2
PRO
42%
22%
36%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
PRO
3 - 1
TER
63%
18%
19%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CFL
1 - 0
PRO
38%
23%
40%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PRO
5 - 1
NLT
61%
19%
20%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
PRO
2 - 1
CRE
72%
15%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mazaleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MAZ
1 - 1
ALB
37%
23%
41%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
MAZ
75%
15%
10%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PUE
3 - 1
MAZ
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
MAZ
1 - 1
VAL
26%
22%
53%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAZ
0 - 3
TER
44%
22%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |