Madr. Ibi vs Sax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madr. Ibi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 5
PEN
15%
19%
66%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
6 - 2
AYO
77%
15%
9%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
REA
2 - 4
PEN
68%
18%
14%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 2
FON
18%
19%
63%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
PET
3 - 2
PEN
80%
13%
7%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
UDF
0 - 2
ATL
65%
18%
17%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
IDE
2 - 3
UDF
74%
16%
10%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
UDF
0 - 3
UDC
17%
19%
64%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 0
UDF
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
UDF
0 - 1
SPO
39%
23%
38%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |