Madr. Ibi vs Sax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
26.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madr. Ibi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
VED
2 - 3
PEN
15%
19%
67%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 0
RAY
50%
22%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
PEN
4 - 3
ONI
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
COC
1 - 4
PEN
11%
17%
73%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 1
ESI
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
RAY
0 - 1
UDF
50%
21%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
UDF
4 - 0
COC
87%
9%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ATM
1 - 2
UDF
28%
21%
52%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
UDF
4 - 1
BEN
64%
18%
18%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
AGU
4 - 0
UDF
49%
21%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |