Peña Fragatina vs Alcolea CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Fragatina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
PES
3 - 1
PFR
26%
24%
50%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PFR
0 - 1
ESP
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
LAN
0 - 0
PFR
21%
21%
59%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
PFR
4 - 1
ZAI
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ONT
0 - 1
PFR
18%
18%
64%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alcolea CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ALC
2 - 4
AIN
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SIE
2 - 3
ALC
28%
23%
50%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 2
EST
64%
19%
17%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
BEL
0 - 0
ALC
27%
23%
50%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 2
PEN
35%
24%
42%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |